Texas General Election Polls 2026

POLL DATE SAMPLE PAXTON TALARCIO LEADER Emerson College 8/9-10 1,000 LV 47% 46% Paxton +1 Texas A&M University 7/27-30 619 LV 43% 47% Talarico +4 254 Labs/YouGov 7/15-31 1,001 RV 45% 48% Talarico +3 Wedgewood 7/30-31 800 LV 46% 48% Talarico +2 Texas Southern University 7/27-30 1,200 LV 45% 47% Talarico +2 Fox News 7/23-27 1,006 RV 48% 51% Talarico +3 Texas Public Opinion Research 7/15-17 1,048 LV 40% 45% Talarico +5 A2 Insights 6/23-28 618 LV 46% 48% Talarico +2 New York Times/Siena 6/19-27 656 LV 47% 47% Even Red Eagle/SoCal Strategies 6/21 800 LV 49% 47% Paxton +2 University of Texas 6/05-12 1,200 RV 43% 42% Paxton +1 Texas A&M University 6/01-04 807 LV 46% 46% Even Quantus Insights 6/03-04 800 LV 45% 43% Paxton +2 Texas Public Opinion Research 5/27-28 1,670 LV 44% 47% Talarico +3 Public Policy Polling 5/23-26 673 LV 38% 45% Talarico +7 Texas Southern University 4/22-5/06 1,223 LV 45% 45% Even University of Texas 4/10-20 1,200 RV 34% 42% Talarico +8 Texas Public Opinion Research 4/17-20 1,018 LV 41% 46% Talarico +5 Impact Research - Talarico 3/12-17 900 LV 43% 44% Talarico +1 Senate Majority PAC 3/04-05 576 RV 45% 47% Talarico +2 Average since Primary Election         Talarico +2.1 Average since Primary Runoff         Talarico +1.3 Average in July/August         Talarico +2.6

POLL DATE SAMPLE ABBOTT HINOJOSA LEADER Emerson College 8/9-10 1,000 LV 48% 45% Abbott +3 GBAO (Pro-Hinojosa) 6/4-9 1,000 LV 49% 48% Abbott +1 Cygnal (Pro-Abbott) 7/29-31 800 LV 49% 46% Abbott +3 Texas A&M University 7/27-30 619 LV 46% 45% Abbott +1 Wedgewood 730-31 800 LV 50% 44% Abbott +6 Texas Southern University 7/27-30 1,200 LV 49% 43% Abbott +6 Fox News 7/23-27 1,006 RV 50% 44% Abbott +1 Texas Public Opinion Research 7/15-17 1,048 LV 45% 42% Abbott +3 New York Times/Siena 6/19-27 656 LV 47% 47% Abbott +6 Red Eagle/SoCal Strategies 6/21 800 LV 54% 42% Abbott +12 University of Texas 6/05-12 1,200 RV 47% 40% Abbott +7 Texas A&M University 6/01-04 807 LV 49% 44% Abbott +5 Quantus Insights 6/03-04 800 LV 49% 41% Abbott +8 Texas Public Opinion Research 5/27-28 1,670 LV 46% 41% Abbott +5 Public Policy Polling 5/23-26 673 LV 48% 44% Abbott +4 Texas Southern University 4/22-5/06 1,223 LV 49% 43% Abbott +6 University of Texas 4/10-20 1,200 RV 44% 38% Abbott +6 Texas Public Opinion Research 4/17-20 1,018 LV 48% 43% Abbott +5 Average since Primary Election         Abbott +5.3 Average since Primary Runoff         Abbott +5.3 Average in July/August         Abbott +3.0

Emerson poll | 8/9-8/10 LV

US Senate Texas 2026

Crosstabs (net)

??Overall: Paxton +1
??Male: Paxton +6
??Female: Talarico +1
??Non-binary: Talarico +100
??White: Paxton +23
??Hispanic: Talarico +19
??Black: Talarico +67
??Independent: Talarico +37 https://t.co/QbjJWE6GWa pic.twitter.com/6SDAivnYts

— Politics & Poll Tracker ?? (@PollTracker2024) August 13, 2026